SEATTLE HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

Home Prices, Interest Rates, Real Estate Statistics, Video and Charts

Spring market activity deep into summer

  • Average Sales Price increased by $39K ($882,365)
  • New Listings Increased to 1,958 (Highest Number of new listings since April 2010)
  • Pending Sales Increased to 1,385 (Highest Number of Pending Sales in more than 15 years)
  • Percentage of Sold Price to List Price Increased to 101.8%
  • Interest Rates increased to unbelievabley low 2.88%
  • Home Inventory Increased to 1.3 Months of Supply
  • Realtor Seattle Housing Market Recovery Index Increased to 118.5

The Seattle Real Estate Market Analysis For SEPTEMBER 2020


Every month we gather all the facts, data and statistics about the Seattle Housing Market and share them with you.  We will discuss the 3 major factors in determining the strength of the market.

  • Inventory
  • Percentage of Homes That Go Pending In First 30 Days
  • Interest Rates

The data tells a story about the current state of our local residential real estate market.

What this story tells me is…

All those homes that did not go on the market in March and April have all come on the market this summer.

The majority of national economists have suggested that it will be the real estate market that pulls up the economy, and so far it is playing out.

As I have been reporting for the last 5 months that buyer indicators have never really declined, and now we are seeing the seller indicators hit all time highs.

According to the Realtor.com Seattle Housing Market Recovery Index the US market is sitting at a 106.2 of 100, while the Seattle/Bellevue/Tacoma market is sitting at 118.5 of 100.

We are seeing spring like sales activity deep into summer.

With still amazingly low interest rates, and a low level inventory the last couple of years the Seattle real estate market should remain in the surge to frenzy status for the foreseeable future.

The stay at home order continues to affect our industry in many ways, but it does not seem to be having a lasting impact on the Seattle housing market and residential real estate sales.

Read About How We Are Navigating Business During The Crisis.

Along with following all state mandated safety guidelines and taking extra precautions we are focusing on delivering Virtual Real Estate Services.

Realtor.com® Seattle Housing Market Recovery Index

The index then compares the current status “to the last week of January 2020 market trend, as a baseline for pre-COVID market growth. The overall index is set to 100 in this baseline period. The higher a market’s index value, the higher its recovery and vice versa”, according to Realtor.com.

Selling?

If you are selling the average sales price is at all time highs, and 65% of homes are selling in the first 30 days. The average home is selling in just 20 days.

Buying?

If you are buying the interest rates have never been lower! We have seen a high number of listings hit the market the last couple months.

Enjoy My Seattle Housing Market Report in 60 Seconds Video


INSTANT HOME VALUATION

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ESTIMATED HOME VALUE

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SEATTLE REAL ESTATE

Market Stats, Neighborhoods, Video, Parks, Schools, Homes For Sale and more.

ABOUT SEATTLE
ONE WORD: WOW!

In Seattle the number of listings in Aug. 2020 substantially outpaced new listings in Aug. 2019, creating a better environment for buyer selectivity. This led to a record number of homes going under contract this past month. Buyers will find the greatest selection of new listings coming on the market this September and October, until next March.

Luxury sales activity in Seattle is very strong, with Frenzy-Level sales activity intensity from $1 million to $1.5 million, Surge sales activity intensity from $1.5 million to $2 million, and strong sales activity intensity from $2 million to $5 million. J Lennox Scott

Seattle Real Estate GRAPHS AND Data

SALES ACTIVITY AND INVENTORY


sales activity

With only 1.3 months of supply if no other homes were listed in the next 40 days we would run out of houses to buy.

New listings increased in August.

If you are looking for homes from 250-350k you are seeing a little more inventory with 2.0 months of inventory.

As you can see from the table above anything below 5 months is considered low.  Low inventory means higher demand.  Higher demand drives the price up.

1,164 homes were sold in Seattle last month. That is down 34 from the previous month, up 132 from last year, and up 161 from 5 years ago.

As you can see in the Seattle housing market homes in the 350-1 million price range are the most commonly listed and sold.  However, homes in the 500k-1m price range sold the fastest.

DAYS ON MARKET

Percent of homes that go pending in first 30 days

65% of homes are selling in less than 30 days in Seattle. That number is usually closer to 30%.

Houses in the 750k-1mil price range are selling 72.7% of the time in the first 30 days.

Because there are less homes for sale and there are still many buyers trying to buy… the homes that do list are usually selling very fast.

PRICE

We have already seen where a low inventory should drive up prices. The average sale price for Seattle homes is $882,365. In comparison 5 years ago the average sales price was $597,569 5 years ago.

In addition the average home is selling for 1.8% higher than it is listed as.

INTEREST RATES

interest rates

In order for it to be a sellers market there must be buyers. With the interest rates at the Absurd rate of 2.88% a .01% from last month (source: Mortgage News Daily)

There are plenty of buyers that are in the Seattle housing market.

TIMING

6 Phases to yearly housing cycleBest time to sell your house

According to both Zillow and John L Scott’s massive data set we should be starting to slow down by now. Because we started the season a few months late, perhaps it will run a few months late.

The buyers are there and we are starting to see the listings numbers increase.

If you’re a buyer you will want to position yourself to create a buyer advantage when competing with other buyers and walk in confidence when making an offer. We can consult with you to be up-to-date with current market intensity and pricing, get pre-approved or fully underwritten through a lender, and receive email/text notification of newly listed properties.

In today’s instant-response market, it’s key to ensure you’re ready to act when the timing is right and make sure you are Buyer Ready Day One.

Sellers should be Market Ready Day One.


JOB AND POPULATION GROWTH
WHILE WE ARE NOT SURE HOW THE EMPLOYMENT NUMBERS WILL END UP HERE IS THE CURRENT UNEMPLOYMENT SITUATION

CURRENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATES

WA Unemployment Rates

WA Employment Security Department

EMPLOYMENT NUMBERS PRIOR TO THE HEALTH CRISES

Washington Job Growth Rate

“After another year of employment stability, Washington economists predict more of the same in 2020.”

“Over the past year, Washington’s ranking in economic growth and competitiveness rose from fifth highest to fourth highest in the nation, according to a September study prepared by the Washington State Economic and Revenue Forecast Council. Separate ESD data reported that Washington added 52,500 jobs between October 2018 and October 2019, with 41,600 of those jobs in the Seattle metro area.”(Seattle Times)

Seattle Population Increase

(Courtesy ofSeattle Times)

According to the US Census Bureau Seattle the fastest growing city of the decade in the country.

The Seattle Housing Market Analysis INFOGRAPHIC


Seattle Housing Market Report September 2020

If you like our infographic or know someone that may like it please don’t hesitate to share it on your Pinterest, Facebook, Twitter or Instagram. If you would like to download the image: Download The Seatttle Housing Market Report Infographic For September

PAST MONTHS REPORTS

We put this list together every month. If you are interested in seeing past months you can access the archive below:

Download Market Report

Seattle Market Stats


STATS PROVIDED BY: INFOSPARK

  • $882,365 was the average sold price for listings in Seattle.
  • 1,958 new listings went on the market this month.
  • 2,332 homes were for sale during the month.
  • 1,385 homes went pending in Seattle.
  • 1,164 homes sold this month
  • 1.3 months of inventory available in Seattle
  • 20 was the average days on market for a home to sell in Seattle
  • 101.8% was the average listing price vs. sales price percentage
  • $505 was the average price per square foot in Seattle
  • $1,028,837,816  was the total closed sales volume for Seattle
  • 2.88% was the interest rate
  • 65% of homes sold in the first 30 days in Seattle

SEATTLE HOMES FOR SALE


SEATTLE HOUSING MARKET Summary


The Seattle Housing Market saw 1,958 new listings, 2,332 homes were for sale, while 1,164 homes sold in September in Seattle.

The average days on market stayed at 20 days, the percentage of sale price to listing price increased slightly to 101.8%, and the average sales price increased. The percentage of homes that sold in the first 30 days is 65%.  Showing that despite the crisis, with interest rates low, buyers are out there.  We have seen the market go to a Surge status over the last few months and the inventory to a severe shortage.

We should continue to see a surging to frenzy market for the foreseeable future.

Now seems to be an amazing time to sell your home as we are still seeing historically low inventory and high prices.

If you are considering a move up, a move down, or just want to sell your home… Months of inventory is still at well below average.  Homes are selling at a rapid pace, the Interest Rates are still at below average lows.

The jury is still out on the job market and population growth.

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