SEATTLE HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

Home Prices, Interest Rates, Real Estate Statistics, Video and Charts

The Seattle Housing Market At a Glance

Seattle housing market update infographic

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3 KEY INDICATORS
Seattle Housing Market

  1. SALES ACTIVITY INTENSITY:
    • 50.5% (VERY STRONG)
  2. INTEREST RATE:
    • 6.81% (MANAGEABLE)
  3. INVENTORY LEVEL:
    • 2.1 Months (LOW)

THE BIG DEAL

Even with inflation sticking around and rates holding firm, Seattle’s housing market is pressing forward. Inventory’s up to 2.1 months, giving buyers more to choose from, while the Sales Activity Indicator dips to 50.5%—still strong, just less frantic. Mortgage rates are steady near 6.9%, and both sides of the market are showing up. Spring’s in full swing, and so is the action.

Enjoy Our Seattle Housing Market Report Video


Spring Brings More Listings, Steady Rates, and a Bit of Breathing Room


May is here, and with it comes a fresh wave of listings and a little more elbow room for Seattle homebuyers. After a fast-paced start to the year, the housing market is showing signs of leveling out—just a bit. We’re seeing inventory rise to around 2.1 months of supply, up from April’s 1.8. That means buyers aren’t having to make snap decisions quite as fast, and sellers are adjusting to a market that’s still active, but not quite as turbocharged as earlier this spring.

The Sales Activity Indicator, which tells us how many homes go pending in the first 30 days, has dipped to 50.5%. That’s a signal that while demand is still strong, buyers now have more options—and time—to find the right fit. Interest rates are holding steady near 6.95%, which, in today’s market, counts as good news. That kind of rate stability brings a bit of calm to what’s usually a hectic season.

This month’s report picks up where The Madrona Group’s April update left off, keeping the same trusted format while layering in all the latest data, trends, and insights for May 2025. Whether you're planning to buy, sell, or just keep a close eye on what’s happening, we've got you covered.


Detailed Explanation of the 3 Key Indicators
  1. Sales Activity Intensity:

    • Definition: This metric reflects the percentage of homes that go under contract within the first 30 days of listing. It's a direct indicator of the market's temperature, showing how quickly homes are moving from listing to pending status.
    • Scale:
          • <25%: Buyer's market – low demand, homes take longer to sell.
          • 25%: Healthy market – balanced demand and supply.
          • 35%: Strong market – increasing demand, sellers have a slight advantage.
          • 45%: Very strong market – high demand, multiple offers are common.
          • 55%: Surge – very high demand, significantly more buyers than available homes.
          • 65%: Frenzy – extreme demand, homes sell extremely quickly, often well above asking price.
          • 75%+: Extreme frenzy – unprecedented demand, highly competitive conditions.
    1. Monthly Inventory Levels:

      • Definition: This measures the number of months it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales pace without any new listings being added. It's a critical indicator of market balance.
      • Scale:
        • 0-1 month: Severe shortage – extremely low inventory, seller's market.
        • 1-2 months: Shortage – low inventory, strong seller's advantage.
        • 2-3 months: Low – less inventory, leaning towards sellers.
        • 3-4 months: Healthy – balanced between buyers and sellers.
        • 4-5 months: Selectability – more options for buyers, slight buyer's advantage.
        • 5+ months: Buyer's market – high inventory, buyers have leverage.
    2. Interest Rates:

      • Definition: This refers to the average mortgage rate available to homebuyers. Interest rates are a significant factor affecting affordability and buyer demand.
      • Scale (not a fixed scale but commonly accepted ranges):
        • 3-4%: Excellent – very favorable for buyers.
        • 5-6%: Good – relatively affordable for most buyers.
        • 7-8%: Uncomfortable – can slow down buyer activity as financing becomes more expensive.
        • 9-10%: Challenging – high rates can lead to decreased demand and slower market activity.

    Each of these indicators plays a crucial role in interpreting the dynamics of the Seattle housing market. By analyzing trends within these metrics, we can better understand the forces at play, predict future movements, and strategize accordingly. Whether you're looking to buy a home, sell one, or simply keep an eye on market developments, these indicators provide the insights needed to navigate the complexities of Seattle's real estate landscape.


    Sales Activity Indicator: Still Competitive, But Slowing the Pace

    This spring, we’re seeing the Seattle housing market take a small step back from the breakneck speed of March and April—but make no mistake, it’s still moving. In May 2025, 50.1% of resale homes sold within the first 30 days. That’s down from April’s 57.7%, signaling a shift from “Surge Mode” to a more measured, yet still competitive, pace.

    So, what’s changed? Inventory is up. Seattle saw 1,647 new listings hit the market, with 2,367 total homes for sale during the month. Buyers now have more options, which means they’re not jumping quite as quickly. Homes are still going pending in about 23 days on average, but that’s a few more days than we saw earlier in the season.

    Here’s another sign of the cooling—but still healthy—tempo: it now takes about 14 showings to get to pending, and each listing is averaging 5.3 showings. Compare that to last month’s 15-to-pending and 6.8 showings per listing, and you can see buyers are taking a bit more time before making moves.

    But don’t be fooled—this market still has teeth. The average home is selling for 102% of its list price, meaning multiple offers are still in play for homes that are priced and prepped right.

    📌 What This Means:

    • For Buyers: You’ve got a little more breathing room than you did last month, but the clock’s still ticking. Pre-approval and a sharp eye for value are your best tools.

    • For Sellers: The spring surge brought more competition. To stand out, focus on curb appeal, smart pricing, and getting your home show-ready from day one.

    Bottom line? The pace has eased just a bit—but in Seattle, homes that shine still move fast.


    Monthly Inventory Levels: More to See, But Still Tight

    May brought a welcome bump in housing supply across Seattle, with 2,367 homes on the market—up from April’s 1,929. Inventory is sitting at 2.1 months, which is a noticeable rise from the 1.6 months we saw last month. That’s good news for buyers who’ve been waiting for more choices, but we’re still well below the 4-6 months considered a balanced market.

    What’s happening here is classic spring surge: 1,647 new listings rolled out, just as buyers stayed active, putting 909 homes under contract and closing on 843. The demand hasn’t cooled off—it’s just running neck and neck with supply.

    Compared to earlier in the year, buyers are getting a little more breathing room. Homes are averaging 23 days on the market, giving folks a chance to tour, think, and maybe even sleep on it. But in a city like Seattle, if a home is priced right and shows well, it’s still moving fast—often with multiple offers.

    📌 What This Means:

    • For Buyers: There’s more to look at this month, which is a relief. But don’t get too comfortable—well-priced homes still go quick. If one fits most of your needs, it’s better to act than wait for perfect.

    • For Sellers: The window’s still wide open. With inventory low by historical standards, a clean, well-presented home that’s priced strategically can stand out and sell fast.

    In short: May’s bringing more homes to the table, but Seattle’s market is still moving with purpose. If you’re in the game, you’ll want to stay sharp.


    Interest Rates: Holding Steady in the High Sixes

    As of mid-May, mortgage rates are averaging 6.81%—a slight uptick from March’s 6.71%, but still comfortably under the highs we saw earlier this year. It's not what most folks would call a bargain, but it's become the new normal, and buyers are learning how to work with it.

    Rates have been hovering in the 6.7% to 7% range for months now, and that kind of consistency is helping both buyers and sellers plan with a bit more confidence. It's not a market fueled by cheap money anymore—but it's one where motivated buyers are still showing up.

    📌 What This Means:

    • For Buyers: 6.81% might not make your heart sing, but it’s manageable—especially with smart strategies like rate buydowns or locking in early. Look at the big picture: building equity still beats throwing rent down the drain.

    • For Sellers: Don’t underestimate the power of incentives. A 2-1 buydown or covering part of the buyer’s closing costs could be the edge that gets your home noticed—and sold.

    Bottom line? Rates aren’t crashing, but they’re not climbing much either. That’s as close to stable as we’ve seen in a while, and it’s keeping the market moving.


    Overall Market Trends: Spring Momentum is in Full Swing

    Seattle’s housing market is cruising into late spring with steady momentum. Inventory is up, homes are still selling fast, and both buyers and sellers are making moves with a clearer sense of the game. Those who sat on the sidelines in late 2024 are back—wiser, more prepared, and ready to play ball, even with rates hovering around 6.81%.

    The average home is still selling above asking at 102%, and with 843 homes sold this month, it’s clear that activity hasn’t let up. Rising prices and a bit more inventory are adding urgency for buyers, while sellers are capitalizing on the seasonal rush before summer vacations and market slowdowns kick in.

    Buyers: You’re back—and a bit bolder. You know what you want, and you’re moving with purpose.
    Sellers: You’ve still got the edge—just remember, smart pricing and solid presentation are key to making it count.

    Key Takeaways: What You Need to Know This May

    May 2025 is shaping up to be one of those classic Seattle spring markets—more listings, active buyers, and just enough inventory to keep things moving without tipping into chaos. Whether you're selling, buying, or just keeping tabs on the trends, here's what really matters this month.


    🔑 For Sellers:

    List now while the momentum’s strong — Inventory is creeping up, but demand’s still steady. The sooner you list, the less competition you’ll face.
    Nail the first impression — Homes are averaging just 23 days on market, so that first weekend counts. Stage it, price it right, and invest in pro photography.
    Be flexible and strategic — With buyers watching their rates and monthly payments, sweetening the deal with a 2-1 buydown or closing cost help can make your home stand out.


    🔑 For Buyers:

    Get your ducks in a row — Pre-approval is a must. The average home is selling at 102% of list price, so sellers expect strong, clean offers.
    Move fast when it’s right — With over 50% of homes pending in the first 30 days, hesitation can mean losing out.
    Be smart with your terms — Flexible closings, fewer contingencies, or even personal touches in your offer can give you the edge in a multiple-offer situation.


    Residential Resale Snapshot (Seattle)

    • Avg. Sale Price: $1,053,527

    • Avg. Days on Market: 23

    • Sold-to-List Ratio: 102%

    • Homes Pending in First 30 Days: 50.1%

    • Total Closed Sales Volume: $888M


    Condo Market: A Solid Option for First-Time Buyers

    Condos are gaining traction again, especially with more buyers priced out of single-family homes. They offer lower entry points—but don’t forget to factor in those HOA dues.

    • Avg. Sale Price: $686,359

    • Avg. Price/SqFt: $601

    • New Listings: 553

    • Closed Sales: 230

    • Avg. Days on Market: 36

    • Sold-to-List Ratio: 99.5%

    📌 Heads-up: Buyers love updated units in walkable neighborhoods. If you’re selling a condo, highlight lifestyle perks like transit access, rooftop views, and included amenities.


    New Construction

    • Avg. Sale Price: $1,021,674

    • Inventory: 4.1 months — more wiggle room than resale

    • Avg. Days on Market: 31

    • Sold-to-List Ratio: 99.6%

    • Avg. Price/SqFt: $642

    • Closed Volume: $130.8M

    • Showings to Pending: 11

    What’s Trending:
    📌 Builder incentives: rate buydowns, appliance packages, and closing cost help
    📌 Smart homes and energy efficiency are big draws
    📌 Flexible financing through builder-affiliated lenders is a growing perk


    Rent vs. Buy

    Seattle’s average rent for a 3-bedroom is now $3,825/month. In many cases, buying a $700K home could match or beat that monthly payment — and you’re building equity while you’re at it. Planning to stay put for 5+ years? Buying still comes out ahead.


    What About The Fed?

    The Fed’s playing it safe, with no big rate drops expected until late 2025. Inflation’s sticking around, so 6–7% mortgage rates may be the new normal for a while.

    📌 Don’t wait for unicorn rates — home prices might rise faster than rates fall
    📌 Locking in now could put you ahead in the long run


    Seasonality

    📌 Spring Surge is here — and with it, more competition
    📌 List early, shop early — the sooner you act, the more you stand to gain

    April Showers Bring May Listings

    April’s economic variations, driven by tariff tensions, have spurred shifts in the stock market and interest rates, leading to emotional fluctuations that have begun to settle as we move into May. Looking ahead, May is historically the peak month for new listings, driven by families preparing for summer and wrapping up the school year. This seasonal shift brings a surge of both sellers and motivated buyers into the market. The combination of increased inventory, potential interest rate relief, and school-year transitions fuels strong sales activity and sets the stage for June closings. J Lennox Scott


    LENNOX SCOTT

    CEO of John L. Scott Real Estate


    Lennox Scott
    Seattle Real Estate GRAPHS AND Data

    SALES ACTIVITY AND INVENTORY


    Sales Activity

    Seattle’s housing inventory has crept up to 2.1 months this May—up from 1.8 months in April and a noticeable change from the ultra-tight 1.6 we saw earlier this spring. It’s a move toward balance, but we’re still firmly planted in seller’s market territory. For context, if no new listings came online, Seattle would run out of homes to sell in just about 63 days.

    Here’s what we’re seeing in the numbers:

    • 1,647 new listings hit the market

    • 909 homes went pending

    • 843 homes sold

    • 2,367 total homes for sale

    That steady influx of listings, paired with strong buyer follow-through, shows a market that’s gaining momentum without spiraling out of control. Buyers have more breathing room, but the best homes—especially in that $500K–$1.25M sweet spot—are still drawing serious interest. In fact, 50.1% of homes are going pending in the first 30 days, which puts us right on the edge of Surge Mode.

    The Luxury Lane

    In the $2M+ market, things are moving a bit slower—but they’re still moving. High-end buyers are being picky, prioritizing location, design, and energy efficiency. Want to stand out? Think top schools, bonus spaces (like ADUs), and show-stopping views.


     Why Inventory Still Matters

    📉 Inventory under 3–4 months = low
    📈 Low supply + steady demand = price pressure

    Even with rates around 6.81%, buyer urgency is holding firm. That mix of stability and opportunity is keeping prices up and the market humming.


    Key Takeaways

    📌 For Buyers:
    You’ve got more to choose from, but not enough to relax. In the right neighborhood and price point, homes are still getting scooped up fast. Pre-approval, strong terms, and a willingness to move quickly are your best bets.

    📌 For Sellers:
    The edge is still yours. With inventory ticking up, now’s a smart time to get your home on the market—before competition grows. Under $1.5M? You’re in the sweet spot. Over $2M? Make sure your home’s presentation matches the expectations of today’s discerning luxury buyer.

    MARKET INTENSITY

    Market Intensity

    In May 2025, 50.1% of Seattle homes are going pending within the first 30 days. That’s a slight dip from March’s 54%, but it still keeps us in that “high activity” zone. Spring’s momentum is carrying through, just with a bit more balance thanks to increased inventory and buyer caution around mortgage rates.

    We’ve got more listings on the board—1,647 new homes this month—and buyers are clearly showing up. But they’re not diving in blind. They’re focused, ready, and moving fast when the home is priced right and checks the boxes. That $500K–$1.25M range remains the heart of the action, with homes in that zone often pulling multiple offers and selling above list.

    Even the luxury segment ($1.5M–$2M) is holding strong, with many homes going pending within the first month—especially those offering smart layouts, great school zones, and energy-efficient upgrades. Today’s buyers aren’t just throwing out offers—they’re investing in the lifestyle that comes with the home.


    Key Takeaways:

    📌 For Buyers:
    Half the market is off the table in 30 days or less. If you see a home that fits, don’t wait. Get pre-approved, move quickly, and bring strong terms to the table. The well-prepped homes are going fast—and you won’t get a second chance.

    📌 For Sellers:
    You’re in a strong position—if you price smart and prep well. Buyers are ready to pounce, but they’re not throwing money at just anything. Clean presentation, thoughtful upgrades, and honest pricing will draw attention and offers. And yes, even in the higher-end market, curb appeal and lifestyle perks like EV hookups and sleek outdoor spaces are major selling points.

    Bottom line: the pace is still quick, but precision matters more than ever.

    PRICE

    Seattle’s average residential resale price in May 2025 climbed to $1,053,527, up from $1,019,569 in March—another solid gain that shows this market is still charging forward, even with interest rates hanging around 6.81%. Low inventory, high demand, and a busy spring season are continuing to fuel price growth across the board.

    By Property Type:

    🏠 Single-Family Homes: $1,164,575
    🏢 Condos: $686,359

    That’s impressive growth, especially when you consider what’s happening over the long haul.


    Five-Year Appreciation Snapshot (Since May 2020):

    • Overall Market: Up 26.9%

    • Single-Family Homes: Up 26.7% (from $919,064 to $1,164,575)

    • Condos: Up 23.9% (from $553,900 to $686,359)

    Whether you already own or you’re looking to get in, those numbers tell a clear story: Seattle real estate continues to be one of the most dependable long-term investments around.


    Pricing Dynamics

    • List-to-Sale Price Ratio: 102% — homes are still going above asking on average

    • Condos are selling just slightly under, at 99.5% of list price, showing solid but more measured activity

    • Move-in ready homes in the $500K–$1.25M range are still drawing multiple offers

    • Overpriced or dated listings? They’re sitting longer and eventually getting marked down


    Key Takeaways:

    📌 For Sellers:
    The equity is real—over 25% growth in five years for many homes. But buyers today are sharp, so don’t let strong comps trick you into overpricing. A clean, modern presentation and a sharp launch strategy will get you top dollar and fast results.

    📌 For Buyers:
    The longer you wait, the more you’ll likely pay. Rates might fluctuate, but Seattle’s price trend is headed one way: up. Locking in now—whether it's a single-family or a condo—means starting your equity clock in a market that’s proven its strength.

    TIMING

    yearly housing cycles


    Welcome to the Spring Surge Phase

    We’re now deep into what John L. Scott calls the Spring Surge Phase—the busiest, most competitive window in the Seattle housing cycle. We’ve left the New Year Kickoff far behind, and it’s clear from the energy in the market: buyers are out, sellers are listing, and things are moving fast.

    This time of year typically brings:

    🌷 A wave of new listings as sellers aim to ride the wave of peak demand
    🚪 Crowded open houses as warmer weather pulls serious buyers off the sidelines
    ⚔️ Intensifying competition—especially under that sweet-spot ceiling of $1.25M

    And May’s numbers confirm it: 1,647 new listings, 909 pendings, and 843 closed sales tell us this market is active, aggressive, and full of momentum. Inventory has ticked up to 2.1 months, but demand is still strong enough to keep homes moving quickly—especially if they’re well-priced and well-prepped.


    What This Means:

    📌 For Sellers:
    This is your prime window. With motivated buyers and fewer listings than usual for this time of year, a sharp launch now could mean multiple offers and quick results. Highlight those spring-ready features—yards, patios, walkability—and price smart to stand out.

    📌 For Buyers:
    More listings are rolling out, but don’t expect it to get easier. The market is heating up fast, and desirable homes—especially under $1.25M—are drawing quick offers and competitive terms. Get pre-approved, stay alert, and be ready to move when the right home pops up. The early bird still gets the house.


    JOB AND POPULATION GROWTH


    unemployment rates

    WA Employment Security Department

    Where Counties are Growing[Source: U.S. Census Bureau]


    Seattle Market Stats

    STATS PROVIDED BY: INFOSPARK

    RESIDENTAL RESALE

    • $1,053,527 was the average sold price for listings in Seattle.
    • 1,647 new listings went on the market this month.
    • 2,367 homes were for sale during the month.
    • 909 homes went pending in Seattle.
    • 843 homes sold this month
    • 2.1 months of inventory available in Seattle
    • 23nwas the average days on market for a home to sell in Seattle
    • 102% was the average listing price vs. sales price percentage
    • $601 was the average price per square foot in Seattle
    • $888,123,349 was the total closed sales volume for Seattle
    • 6.81% was the interest rate
    • 50.1% of homes sold in the first 30 days in Seattle
    • 14 Average showings to Pending
    • 5.3 Showings per Listing

    NEW CONSTRUCTION

    • $1,021,674 was the average sold price for new construction in Seattle.
    • 227 new construction listings went on the market this month.
    • 497 new construction homes were for sale during the month.
    • 146 new construction homes went pending in Seattle.
    • 128 new construction homes sold this month
    • 4.1 months of new construction inventory available in Seattle
    • 31 was the average days on market for a new construction to sell in Seattle
    • 99.6% was the average listing price vs. sales price percentage
    • $642 was the average price per square foot in Seattle
    • $130,774,263 was the total closed sales volume for Seattle
    • 6.81% was the interest rate
    • 11 Average showings to Pending
    • 3.3 Showings per Listing

    SEATTLE HOMES FOR SALE



    SEARCH SEATTLE LISTINGS

    SEATTLE HOUSING MARKET Summary


    As we close the books on May, one thing’s crystal clear: Seattle’s housing market isn’t warming up—it’s already cooking. We’re deep into the Spring Surge, and the numbers show a fast-moving, competitive landscape that rewards preparation and strategy.

    🕒 Homes are selling in just 23 days on average, down from 29 in March, showing that the most desirable listings are moving even faster.

    💰 List-to-sale price ratio sits at 102%, meaning well-priced homes are still selling above asking—especially in the hot $500K–$1.25M range.

    Sales Activity Intensity™ is holding firm at 50.1%, with over half of all homes going pending in the first 30 days. The pace has eased slightly from April, but make no mistake—this market is still on the move.

    📉 Inventory has ticked up to 2.1 months, offering buyers more options but still favoring sellers in most segments. Supply is rising, but demand hasn’t let up.

    📊 Interest rates are stable at 6.81%, providing just enough predictability to keep buyers in the game, even as affordability remains a key concern.


    Looking Ahead

    📌 For Sellers:
    You’ve still got the advantage, but the window is shifting. With inventory rising, your best shot at top dollar is now. Price right, prep well, and market smart—especially if your home is under $1.5M. In the luxury market, sharp presentation and standout features are what seal the deal.

    📌 For Buyers:
    The race is still on. While inventory is improving, good homes go fast. Get fully pre-approved, work with a broker who knows how to negotiate in this climate, and be ready to lead with clean, compelling offers.


    The Big Picture

    Seattle’s spring market is full throttle—homes are hitting, selling, and closing at a steady clip. Buyers are active, sellers are motivated, and the slight rise in inventory is creating more opportunities on both sides of the table.

    If you’re buying, now’s the time to make a move before peak summer competition ramps up. If you’re selling, this next month could be your sweet spot—buyer interest is strong, and serious shoppers are still out in full force.

    No matter which side you’re on, having the right guidance can make all the difference. This market rewards savvy decisions—and it’s moving fast.

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